OPERATOR VIEW — the rooms watch display.html, not this screen
Unclassified//For Exercise Use Only//Scenario · Sep 2027
Storm Across the Strait
National Security Decision Making
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National Security Decision Making

Storm Across the Strait

A U.S. NSC exercise on a Chinese blockade-to-invasion of Taiwan · 26 Sep – 25 Oct 2027
Red Teaming Associates
Press Space to begin · or Cold Open
Click a marker for detail · approximate public estimates (IISS Military Balance · CRS · DoD) · not live intelligence
Opinion · the constraint on what the room can do
The Home Front
U.S. public opinion · live tracking ● LIVE
Send U.S. troops against an invasion
35% support65% oppose
Down from 52% support at the 2021 peak
Swing support0
Use the Navy to break the blockade
30% support70% oppose
Asked with the caveat it “might trigger a direct conflict with China” — this scenario
Swing support0
Evacuate U.S. citizens from Taiwan
70% support30% oppose
A noncombatant evacuation (NEO) of the ~11,000 Americans on the island
Swing support0
Indirect support holds a strong majority
77% airlift food & medical supplies71% sanctions on Beijing63% arms & equipment to Taipei
The fine print
66% want Taiwan to raise its own defense spending as a precondition44% rank avoiding war with a nuclear China above Taiwan’s autonomy (21% disagree)
Chicago Council / Ipsos · Defense Priorities / YouGov · adjusted & simulated for exercise use · swing what the room has earned; students see it live
Public Opinion of Allies
Where allied opinion sits · shifts with the room
◄ Accept the customs regimeBreak the blockade, with the U.S. ►
Room posture — where the President is trending
Accommodate Coerce
Events in play
Directional teaching model · hawkish U.S. posture & PRC information ops pull publics toward accommodation; Chinese overreach rallies them toward resolve. Not survey data.
Private · do not project
In round
Between rounds
End of exercise
Setup & run
Offline
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