Prepared for III Armored Corps · not public · planning draft, 16 August 2026, revised 1 September · unclassified

Training your team to work with an AI advisor — and to catch it when it is wrong.

Three days. One of decision-science instruction on MDMP, then two running a corps staff through a crisis simulation with an AI advisor on every desk. The advisor is deliberately wrong some of the time, and every use of it is recorded.

No vendor and no model is named in anything taught here. What transfers is the check a warfighter runs before accepting an answer, which holds for whatever is on your network today and for whatever replaces it.

Offloading — the trained behavior

A step goes to the machine and the warfighter keeps the check — what comes back is tested against the order before it goes forward.

Surrender — the failure

The step goes over and the warfighter drops the check. The order was there and went unopened. The filed product looks identical.

Telling offloading from surrender, per warfighter, is what this program measures.

For the ODT: the POI draft → is the working document. This page is the full planning record; marks made here still count.

3 daysOne instruction, two simulation
16–25Warfighters, six desks
10Objectives proposed
13Places to mark it up

How to use this page · 20 minutes for the page, 20 more if you try both

  1. Read down and mark it up. about 15 minutes Thirteen sections, each with keep, change or cut and a line for a note. One tap is a useful answer, and headings marked ▾ open if you want the reasoning behind one.
  2. Then walk through the simulation. 5 minutes New tab. One real moment from it: nineteen minutes to approve a fire mission near a dam, where the advisor has written the recommendation and has the no-fire distance wrong.
  3. Do the experiment. 15 minutes The part we would most like your staff to actually do — it is the measurement the whole program rests on. Seven staff problems from a corps order, an advisor on each, deliberately wrong on three, and you are not told which. It needs the class code from your invitation.
  4. Send your notes. 1 minute Straight to us, and nothing is committed by sending them.
A planning draft for III Armored Corps, not a proposal. Nothing contracted, funded or scheduled, and no prices, on purpose. It exists so your staff can mark up a course before anyone writes a requirement. Please keep the link inside your staff.

Proposed learning objectives

What a warfighter should be able to do differently back at the desk.

Proposed, not fixed. Mark any of them, and add your own at the end.

Day one — decision science, taught on Design and MDMP

  1. Name the decision-science failure at the MDMP step where it happens — dual-process reasoning, bounded rationality, naturalistic decision making, Allison’s models, groupthink.
  2. Distinguish a constraint from a risk the commander may accept, and say which authority lifts which.
  3. Judge a decision on what was knowable at the time, not on how it turned out.

Day two and three — the simulation

  1. Tell cognitive offloading from cognitive surrender in your own conduct. The filed product looks identical; the record shows which one happened.
  2. Run the four checks that catch a corrupted machine answer under a clock: the base order, the timestamps, a channel outside the shared network, a re-run once it is back.
  3. Recognize an adversary attacking your decision-making rather than your forces — timing pressure, fluent wrong answers, a taught baseline, spoofed provenance, agreement with what you already expect.
  4. Read your own confidence as data. Most participants find their confidence was not tracking their accuracy.
  5. Apply the same check to any tool, named or not. Nothing taught is tied to a vendor, a model or a version, so the habit survives the tool being replaced — and a warfighter can carry it to whatever is fielded next.

What the command leaves with

  1. A detailed after-action review built on the record. Who consulted the advisor and when, whether the order was opened first, which checks ran, confidence against correctness — per warfighter and pooled.
  2. The corps’ draft AI guardrails. No published DoD or Army guidance says what anyone on the staff must check before signing machine-drafted product. In the last hour the leaders in the room write the corps’ own rules: when to direct the use of an AI tool, when a workflow should be automated, and when a decision needs collaborative, cross-warfighting-function coordination instead. Added 2 Sep 2026 at III Corps’ request.

Nothing is sent until you choose to send it. Your marks stay if you leave and come back.

These objectives

Add your own

Objectives your staff needs that are not above. One per line.

Objectives you add change the day-one block and the injects.

How the simulation runs

Six pulses over two days, and the last half-day is the teaching.

An earlier draft ran nineteen and a half hours across five long blocks — six hours over a real duty day, with four of the six desks idle for hours and the adversary cell waiting for Blue to decide something.

It is now built as pulses — inject, desk work, decision brief, adjudication, consequence. A rhythm a staff recognizes, and five or six measured decisions per desk instead of two or three. Two days of six and a half hours, with the second afternoon given to the review.

Simulation Day 1
0800 · 30 min
Common brief, receipt of missionDesks seated, the order on the screen, the advisor opened. The adversary cell is seated separately and issued its objectives.
Pulse 1 · 2 hMission analysis to planning guidanceDesk estimates in parallel, mission analysis brief, commander's planning guidance. Heaviest advisor use of the exercise. Adversary: runs its own planning cycle and files its order — it is never sitting waiting.
Pulse 2 · 2 hOne course of action, wargamedA single COA rather than three, wargamed against the adversary's filed order, then a decision brief. Adversary: plays its own plan through the White Cell.
Pulse 3 · 2 hDecision, and a FRAGORD skeletonThe commander decides. Tasks, timings and decision points — no full order production, which was hours of drafting the record could not read. Adversary: first instrument released against the timeline.
Simulation Day 2
Pulse 4 · 1.5 h
H-hour, execution opensThe operation begins. Update brief, targeting working group, and the first thing that does not go to plan. Adversary: commits or withholds its second echelon, in writing, before the staff can see it.
Pulse 5 · 1 hThe constraint testA high-payoff target inside a no-fire area, with the recommendation already written and a short window. The center of the exercise. Adversary: asks for the timing pressure it wants and states what it expects.
Pulse 6 · 1 hThe reserve decision, then ENDEXAmbiguous reporting on a degraded network, the reserve still uncommitted, and the condition the commander named. ENDEX at midday. Adversary: mirror memo finished, drafted during the exercise.
1230 · 2 hAfter-action review — the teaching blockIndividual records returned. The cohort pattern on the room screen. The adversary cell reads its mirror memo against what the record shows the staff actually checked. The four checks worked against the moments they were missed.
1430 · 1.5 hGuardrails sessionThe leaders draft the corps’ AI guardrails: when to direct a tool, when to automate a workflow, when a decision needs cross-warfighting-function coordination. Facilitated against what the record showed. The draft leaves with the corps.

Scheduled while the room is fresh. Day one teaches the concepts; this is where they get proved on participants' own behavior. It is the most valuable three hours in the course and should not be the most tired.

If you cannot release people for three days. One simulation day plus a half-day review, two days total. It costs the second half of the execution phase and roughly half the record density, and we would rather say that than pretend otherwise.
The run of show

What it is built on

Published sources, named.

DoctrineFM 6-0 and FM 5-0 for staff organization, the seven-step MDMP and planning-time allocation. Center for Army Lessons Learned material on decision support matrices and templates.
The constructShaw and Nave, Wharton School working paper, January 2026 — cognitive offloading and cognitive surrender, and the baseline rates this program reports against. A preprint, and labeled one wherever it is used here.
Peer-reviewed evidenceVaccaro, Almaatouq and Malone in Nature Human Behaviour (2024), a meta-analysis of 106 human–AI experiments. Bastani and colleagues in PNAS (2025), on assistance that raises practice scores and lowers later unaided performance. Onnasch and colleagues in Human Factors (2014), on what higher automation does to situation awareness and to recovery when the machine fails. All of it, with the limits stated.
Human factorsEndsley and Kiris on out-of-the-loop performance, Parasuraman and Manzey on automation complacency, Goddard and colleagues’ systematic review of automation bias across 74 studies, and Reiner and colleagues on automated target detection with soldiers. The literature this problem already had before generative AI arrived.
Decision scienceKahneman on dual-process reasoning, Simon on bounded rationality, Klein on naturalistic decision making, Allison and Zelikow on organizational and bureaucratic models, Janis on groupthink. The standard graduate curriculum, taught against MDMP steps.
The adversaryPublished Soviet and Russian military thought on reflexive control — acting against an opponent’s decision-making rather than the forces — in unclassified analysis from the Foreign Military Studies Office and RAND. ATP 7-100.1 and the TRADOC G-2 unclassified summary for how such a force operates.
Human-machine teamingRAND on human-machine integration, CSET on AI for military decision-making, and professional writing in Military Review on generative AI in the Army.
The Army’s own record, 2026Lajeunesse, Palazini and Tulskie at the Modern War Institute on AI inside MDMP at JRTC. The CGSC experiment putting AI agents on Army Vantage into mission analysis, and the CGSC argument that PME must teach validation and override of AI output, including hallucination detection. Outpacing the Pacing Threat, Army University Press, on integrating AI at corps and division. DEVCOM ARL’s COA-GPT at Project Convergence Capstone 6, July 2026. Kahn, Horowitz and colleagues on automation bias among West Point cadets against the general public. Lushenko’s conjoint experiments on trust among field-grade officers at the war colleges.
The policy gapDoD Directive 3000.09 and Congressional Research Service analysis of it — which is how we can say no published guidance covers a planning advisor.

All of it publicly released and unclassified. Where the record does not support a claim we say so on the page.

What it is built on

Why the scenario looks like your fight

It was built from your own published exercise record.

Before writing a line of it we read the public record of III Armored Corps' warfighter cycle across the last five years — army.mil releases, DVIDS, and Army University Press professional writing — and built the scenario out of what that record actually describes. Everything below is unclassified and citable. Nothing in the scenario is drawn from a plan, a disposition or a capability.

ExerciseWhat the public record describesWhat the scenario takes from it
WFX 21-4A corps trained and tested as a tactical headquarters, commanding multinational forces in a complex operational environment.A corps that allocates and sets conditions rather than fighting the close battle. Stated in the participant guide in those words.
WFX 23-04The same construct examined in professional writing: a multinational corps fighting as a tactical-level headquarters.Six functional desks, corps battle rhythm, and products a corps staff actually produces.
WFX 25-4A near-peer threat stressing rapid seizure of key terrain and disruption of lines of communication. Over a thousand personnel from three nations in red cell, white cell and role-player functions. A liaison-officer academy of classroom instruction before the command post exercise.An echeloned adversary racing a second echelon, a live Red Cell, and an instruction day before the simulation — not an academic import.
The MPEEstablishing the Mission Partner Environment described as the first test of interoperability, with documented friction from partners' differing communications architectures.A jammed coalition network, and the timing of its degradation used as an adversary instrument.
PhantomX
Apr 2026
The corps announced the Phantom Experimentation Laboratory, an umbrella innovation and experimentation effort intended to make Fort Hood the Army’s leading hub for technological advancement and partnerships, with the stated goal of “a combat-credible armored corps that is globally deployable, data-centric, and capable of winning decisively in multi-domain operations.” Named efforts under it include Pegasus Charge under Transforming in Contact, an autonomous-vehicle award through xTechOverwatch, advanced manufacturing spaces, and academic partnerships.A corps that has institutionalized experimentation and declared a data-centric goal is a corps whose staff will be handed emerging decision-support tools. The exercise follows the corps’ own modernization direction.
ATSI Summit
Jan 2026
An eighteen-month corps-directed cycle on training standards, closed by a two-day senior-leader review. The commanding general described the method as “a series of simulations, a warfighter and two National Training Center rotations,” aimed at formations that achieve overmatch in an environment dominated by drones, pervasive sensing and increased lethality. A participating division commander framed the philosophy as “we train by intent, not checklists.”Simulation treated as a primary instrument for designing how formations fight, and training by intent rather than by checklist — which is what lets an exercise measure staff judgment under compressed intent.
MCTP modelA free-thinking opposing force, observer-coach-trainers, computer-simulated battle action, and a rotation ending in an after-action review.The pulse structure, the White Cell, and the half-day review as the teaching block.
We train by intent, not checklists.Maj. Gen. Monté L. Rone, commanding general, 1st Infantry Division — ATSI Summit, January 2026

One limit, stated plainly. The public PhantomX record names materiel and platform projects — munitions, autonomous vehicles, manufacturing, field medical. It does not name an AI tool or a decision-support system inside the corps headquarters staff, and we do not claim it does. What the record supports is that the corps has institutionalized experimentation and called its goal data-centric.

Sources: Fort Hood announces 2026 innovation effort: Phantom Experimentation Laboratory, “PhantomX” (Fort Hood Media Center and DVIDS, 16 April 2026); III Armored Corps Armor Transformation and Standardization Initiative Summit — eighteen-month review (army.mil and DVIDS, February 2026); III Armored Corps concludes Warfighter 25-4 (army.mil); Army University Press professional writing on Warfighter 23-04; public reporting on Warfighter 21-4; Mission Command Training Program public material; FM 6-0 and FM 5-0 on staff organization and MDMP; published MCTP observations on recurring corps and division staff failures. Every designed failure in the scenario corresponds to a documented, publicly reported one.

Why this matters for the design. The failure modes in the simulation are not invented. Published MCTP observations from large-scale combat operations training name them: rigid adherence to battle rhythm at the expense of rapid decision-making, disregarded intelligence handover lines, running estimates presented as components of an answer rather than an answer, and decision support matrices not developed in enough detail to be useful. The scenario is engineered to elicit those, so a staff recognizes them in its own output.
The fidelity basis

Why it matters

A confidently wrong advisor made people worse than no advisor at all.

The finding the program is built on comes from three published experiments with 1,372 participants. Given problems to solve, people who had an AI advisor that was wrong scored below the people who had no AI at all. They were not sensing the traps: they consulted the advisor at almost the same rate on the rigged problems as on the sound ones, 52.8 percent against 54.4.

The trait that most predicted failing to catch a wrong answer was trust in AI. Higher trust made a participant 64 percent less likely to override the machine when it was wrong. Whoever has taken to the tool fastest and speaks best of it is, on this evidence, the one most likely to pass a bad answer up the chain.

The honest caveat: those were ordinary adults answering reasoning problems, not staff officers doing mission analysis. One study speaks to the military population directly. In a survey experiment fielded at West Point in May 2025, 236 cadets showed better-calibrated trust in an AI decision aid than a matched general-public sample: less deference to the machine and less dismissal of it. A brigade staff has since described the failure mode inside a JRTC rotation — the account is below. Neither measures how often a corps staff under a planning clock accepts a wrong output. Measuring that on your own people is what the experiment on this page is for.

Those experiments also measured immediate answers only, so they say nothing about what a staff retains. One field experiment does: classes of secondary students randomized to unrestricted AI, a tutor built to withhold answers, or neither. Both AI groups beat the control during practice. On a later exam taken without the tool, the unrestricted group came out 17 percent below the control and the withheld-answer group came out level with it. The published evidence, and what it does not show.

What we have watched happen

I have sat in both chairs. Ten years as a participant in U.S. military wargames as a Navy Reserve officer, and several years designing and running crisis simulations for graduate students at Georgetown University. The finding above matches what I have watched in both rooms.

A confident, well-formatted answer gets adopted — fastest when the clock is short, when it agrees with what the staff already believed, and when whoever could have checked it assumed somebody else had. Serving personnel and graduate students fail the same way, and neither group can tell afterward which answers they actually reasoned through.

— Dr. Haider Mullick, Red Teaming Associates

Accuracy with a correct advisor, a wrong advisor, and none · Wharton, 2026

No AI available45.8%
AI available and correct71.0%
AI available and wrong31.5%

Source: Shaw & Nave, Wharton School working paper, January 2026 — Study 1, Fig. 3 (p. 24). n=1,372, 9,593 trials. Pooled across all three studies, a correct answer was 16 times more likely when the advisor was right than when it was wrong (OR 16.07, 95% CI 11.50–22.46, p < .001).

Field evidence

A brigade staff put AI inside MDMP at JRTC, and named the failure mode.

In April 2026 three captains from 3rd Brigade, 101st Airborne published an account of what happened when they integrated AI tools into the military decision-making process across a rotation at the Joint Readiness Training Center. They produced three complete brigade operations orders at roughly twenty-three hours each, inside the one-third/two-thirds rule. The speed is the part that gets quoted. The part that matters here is what they say went wrong.

They call it hidden confidence: output that is grammatically polished, stylistically correct and factually wrong, arriving with nothing to indicate any of it is wrong. Over one planning cycle they logged four kinds of error.

  • Incorrect unit designationsThe wrong formation named in a product a subordinate will execute against.
  • Inverted phase linesControl measures reversed against the graphic they were drawn from.
  • Fabricated control-measure namesNames that read as plausible doctrine and appeared nowhere in the original order.
  • Time-distance calculations off by thirty to sixty minutesInside the margin that decides whether a linkup happens.

Any one of them, published in an order and executed, is a fratricide, a missed linkup or a breakdown in synchronization at the moment it matters. Their section chiefs caught all of them. The authors are direct about why: the staff refused to treat AI output as validated, and they attribute that to training and discipline.

Staff professionalism in an AI-enabled headquarters is measured less by production speed than by validation rigor.Capts. Chris Lajeunesse, Joseph Palazini and James Tulskie, 3rd Brigade, 101st Airborne Division — Modern War Institute, 24 April 2026

Three of the four recommendations they make to the Army describe things this program already does. They argue that a unit should codify its AI limits in its own standing operating procedures before operational pressure tests them — day one here ends with the room drafting that standard for its own staff. They argue that professional military education should treat AI governance as core curriculum, covering prompt discipline, output validation and the failure modes above. And they record that AI stayed back during course of action development, calling that the correct doctrinal relationship rather than a gap in their integration.

What it does not do. This is an account of one rotation written by the officers who ran it, and no one counted how often a wrong output was caught against how often it passed. It establishes that the failure mode is real in an Army headquarters, and it leaves the rate unmeasured. Producing that number for your own staff is what the experiment on this page is for.

Source: Chris Lajeunesse, Joseph Palazini & James Tulskie, “Artificial Staff, Human Command: An AI Integration Experiment,” Modern War Institute at West Point, 24 April 2026. The views are the authors’ own and are not an official position of the Military Academy, the Army or the Department of Defense.

The JRTC account

The problem

A planner hands the whole process to the machine, and the human in the loop becomes a signature.

The AI is given the mission analysis, the COA development and the products; a human reviews the output at the end and signs it. Nothing in that is prohibited and none of it looks like a shortcut. The staff delivers a complete plan on time, and nobody in the chain can say which parts anyone thought about.

Being in the loop gets treated as a chair someone occupies. It is a skill: what an AI-generated mission analysis leaves out, how a COA can be internally consistent and operationally wrong, which assumptions got inherited. Those checks are learnable, and almost nobody teaches them.

Is this your problem?

The policy gap

No document tells a warfighter how much to trust a machine.

DoD Directive 3000.09 is the instrument people reach for, and it does not reach this. It requires that autonomous and semi-autonomous weapon systems be designed to allow commanders and operators to exercise appropriate levels of human judgment over the use of force. That is a design requirement on a system, not a standard of conduct for the person at the desk, and by its own terms it does not extend to systems that are not weapons. A planning advisor sits outside it.

Nothing else fills the space. The Department's own explanation concedes that appropriate admits no single standard, and the AI ethical principles stop at five adjectives. Neither says what checking a machine-drafted running estimate consists of, or how much is enough before it is signed.

Meanwhile the tools are on the desk. GenAI.mil passed a million users within two months of launch, and the Secretary of Defense's instruction was: “I expect every member of the department to log in, learn it and incorporate it into your workflows immediately.”

Fielded tools, unwritten standard. That gap is what this program trains.

Sources: DoD Directive 3000.09, Autonomy in Weapon Systems; DoD white paper on autonomy in weapon systems (2018), on the flexibility of “appropriate”; DoD AI Ethical Principles (2020); Department of Defense reporting on the GenAI.mil launch and its first two months, and the Secretary of Defense’s accompanying instruction.

The policy gap

What gets measured

Two behaviors that look identical from the outside.

Either the output was tested against the order and kept because it survived, or it was kept because it arrived. The filed product looks the same. Only one is repeatable.

Offloading

Delegates the step and keeps the check. The warfighter knows where their own knowledge ends, uses the tool there, and tests what comes back before it goes forward. This is the trained behavior and the program's objective.

Surrender

Delegates the step and drops the check. The warfighter had what was needed to test the output and did not test it. Across three experiments with 1,372 participants, this was the ordinary case.

The two need different corrections, so the program counts them separately. Each warfighter gets an individual record; the staff gets the pattern.

Nobody could tell the good answers from the bad ones by feel. Participants consulted the advisor at almost the same rate on the rigged problems as on the sound ones, 52.8 percent against 54.4 percent, so they were not steering away from the traps. They could not sense them. Shaw & Nave 2026, Study 1 (p. 23)

The two behaviors

This is a training problem and not a discipline problem. Paid for correct answers and told at once when they were wrong, participants doubled their override rate from 20 to 42.3 percent, and the majority still followed the faulty advisor. Motivation moved it twenty-two points and left the majority where they were.

What a warfighter walks out with

Their own record.

A sample, with synthetic figures. Each warfighter gets one. The cohort version goes on the screen on day two, and the staff spends the morning arguing with it.

Individual recordSample · synthetic figures7 problems · 14 min

You caught the advisor 1 of the 3 times it was wrong.

01Offloading 
02Surrender●
03Offloading 
04Surrender●
05Deliberation 
06Offloading●
07Offloading 
SurrenderOffloadingDeliberationBar height is stated confidence · ● marks where the advisor was wrong

Sample · against the published baseline, on the problems where the advisor was wrong

Surrender67% / 73%
Offloading33% / 20%

Sample · confidence, against whether the answer was right

Mean, answers they got right3.6 / 5
Mean, answers they got wrong3.8 / 5

Those two bars are the point of the experiment. The confidence was tracking nothing, so it never warned that something needed a second look. A warfighter who sees that in their own record reads the next machine output differently.

The individual record

Who surrenders

The people most comfortable with the tool are the least likely to check it.

Three traits were measured against whether a participant caught a wrong answer. The first should change who a commander watches.

How much each trait moves the odds of catching a wrong advisor

Makes it less likelyMakes it more likelyBar length is effect size, per standard deviation

Trust in AI2.8× less
Raw reasoning ability2.0× more
Enjoys hard thinking1.9× more

Source: Shaw & Nave 2026, Fig. 4 (p. 26). Odds ratios per standard deviation, holding the other two constant: trust 0.36, reasoning 1.96, need for cognition 1.86, all p < .05. Bars show effect size, so an odds ratio of 0.36 is drawn as the 2.8× effect it is.

Higher trust in AI made a participant 64 percent less likely to override it when it was wrong. Whoever has taken to the tool fastest, uses it most fluently and speaks well of it is, on this evidence, the one most likely to pass a bad answer up the chain. That is the opposite of who a staff would nominate to run its AI cell.

Two things protected people: enjoying effortful thought, and raw reasoning ability. A commander can issue neither. A procedure, yes.

When the adversary gets to the data

A staff can be attacked through its advisor without the advisor being hacked.

It splits into two problems with different owners. Protecting the model and its training data — weights, pipelines, access — is an assurance and cyber problem. It belongs to whoever fields and accredits the tool, and we do not claim it.

The other half is the staff's. An untouched advisor still hands a corps a confident wrong answer if its inputs were shaped by somebody who wanted that answer. Four ways, none needing access to the model:

Poisoned intake

False reporting is fed into the coalition feeds the advisor summarizes. It reports the contamination accurately and in good faith.

A taught baseline

Weeks of shaped activity establish a normal, then the adversary breaks it. Pattern-of-life confidence is highest exactly where it is least warranted.

Spoofed provenance

Output cites a product series in the command's own format that the command never produced. Format is not provenance, and nobody traces a series number under a clock.

Silent staleness

Jamming starves the tool of current reporting and it answers at normal confidence from old data without saying which sources are current.

The vulnerability is documented outside the military record as well. Across three experiments, two of them preregistered, participants rarely noticed that information they had stored outside their own memory had been altered, and later recalled inserted material as their own. Risko and colleagues, Cognition, 2019

The simulation carries injects built on all four, held by the facilitator and revealed at the debrief. What it trains is the four checks that catch them, and the record shows which desk ran which, and when.

Said plainly, because it matters for a requirement. We train the human check. We do not secure your model, audit your weights or test your pipeline, and we will not bid as though we do.

On the doctrinal lineage: acting against an opponent's decision-making rather than the forces is developed in published Soviet and Russian military thought on reflexive control, available in unclassified analysis from the Foreign Military Studies Office and RAND. Connecting that to a generative planning advisor is our extrapolation, and the participant material says so in the text. No published exercise design specifying an adversary cell mandated against an opposing staff's use of a generative advisor was located.

The adversary-data problem

How to classify it

This is education and training services.

NAICS 611430, PSC U008. Instruction and a facilitated exercise, delivered by people in a room. Naming this correctly matters at the front of an acquisition: routed as IT or software it acquires an authority-to-operate review, a cybersecurity assessment and a licensing conversation, none of which this needs.

  • No software is licensed or delivered. Nothing is installed on a government network.
  • No government data is ingested, processed or stored. The experiment and the simulation run on our own unclassified infrastructure, and the records belong to the participants and the command.
  • No authority to operate is required, because nothing operates inside your boundary.
  • No network dependency in the room. The exercise runs in a browser, and on paper if the network is unavailable.
  • Unclassified throughout. Fictional scenario, invented place names, and no plans, dispositions or capabilities.

What the command buys is instructor time, exercise design and facilitation. The browser tooling is how the exercise is delivered and how the record is captured, in the same way a projector is how a briefing is delivered.

This classification

On which AI

Agent agnostic, and structurally so.

No vendor and no model is named in anything taught here. What transfers is what a warfighter does with an answer — which holds for whatever is on your network today and whatever replaces it.

The advisor inside our experiment runs on a commercial model. Better said here than found in a technical review. It does not weaken the claim, because what is trained is the check a warfighter applies before accepting an output, and that check does not care which system produced it.

What the training is, in one line

The paper's own recommendation is friction by design: make the user say what they think before the answer appears, and require an evaluation before it can be accepted. Shaw & Nave 2026, Implications That is a procedure, it can be written into a staff SOP, and it is most of what the three days teach.

Tested independently, that procedure has the best evidence behind it of anything in this literature. Cognitive forcing designs cut overreliance in a 199-participant experiment where explanations alone did not, and the participants rated the added friction less favorably. Buçinca, Malaya & Gajos, ACM CSCW, 2021

Why this matters for a program of record. A course built around one product goes stale when the product does, and teaches a staff to trust a brand instead of reading an answer. The failure modes here belong to confident machine output and to human attention under a clock. They have not moved with any model release.
The agnostic approach

The deliverable

What the command holds afterwards.

  • Cohort findingsThe staff's pattern: which part of the process they let go of first, which output nobody challenged, and where the room's confidence stopped tracking its accuracy. No names.
  • An individual assessment per warfighterThe record shown above, extended across the exercise: offload and surrender counts, confidence calibration, and the specific decisions each is worth reviewing.
  • Failure modes observedWritten up against your own products from the exercise, so the staff recognizes them in their own output.
  • Editable debrief materialsYours to keep and re-run. Your instructors can teach the second iteration without us in the room.

Delivered within five days of the exercise ending.

The deliverable

Scope

What it takes to run.

Three days, in person, unclassified. One day of decision-making instruction — Army Design Methodology, the models placed at the MDMP step where they fail, the two behaviors, and the checks that catch a wrong machine answer. Then two days of simulation, where the staff plans a corps problem on a clock with an advisor available and every use of it recorded. The pre-course check gives you the baseline before anyone arrives. Adapting the scenario to your theater, your seats and your authorities is part of the program.

Best at 16 to 25 warfighters, seated as six desks by warfighting function in a corps main command post — command group, intelligence, movement and maneuver, fires and protection, sustainment, and command and control with the special staff. Past about 25 the individual assessment thins out.

There is a working simulation you can walk through now. Breakpoint: The Kesland Crisis is the scenario the two simulation days run on: a multinational corps with ninety-six hours to defeat a penetration and hold two river crossings, an AI planning advisor at every desk that is deliberately wrong on named questions, and an adversary cell whose standing order is to attack how the staff thinks. The walkthrough opens with a narrated setup and drops you into one moment from the second simulation day. No sign-in, nothing connected, about five minutes.
Scope and class size

Cost and paperwork

If you get to scoping it, here is where the numbers are.

Published rates and a worksheet that turns answers about your class into a cost estimate, so you can see the order of magnitude without asking us for a quote. Whatever it produces is a draft for your own use — your contracting shop decides what a requirement looks like and what route it takes.

  • Rate cardDay rates by class size, published at a stable URL if a price-reasonableness determination needs something to cite.
  • Draft paperwork, if it is usefulAnswer the questions about your unit, dates and class size and it drafts a performance work statement, a quality assurance plan, a cost-estimate worksheet and a market research memorandum. Starting points to edit or discard.
  • IdentifiersNAICS 611430, PSC U008. An SBA-certified service-disabled veteran-owned small business. CAGE 6B7Q4, UEI H54BTD3BJXJ7.
  • ComparablesFederal awards for facilitated exercises and decision-making training, with USAspending links, so the pricing can be checked against the record.

Ready to scope it

Build the program and produce the acquisition package.

Ten minutes. Pick the shape, answer what you can, and it writes the quotation, performance work statement, QASP, requirements record and sole-source facts letter, prefilled with published rates and the identifiers a KO needs. Everything downloads as Word for your contracting office to edit.

Using it commits you to nothing and tells us nothing until you send something. If you need something to forward or take into a room, there is a one-page version of this case built to print.

Send it back marked up

Your notes become the requirement, before anyone writes one.

Whatever you marked collects here. Add anything the page missed, tell us who you are, and send it. It reaches our program inbox directly, costs you nothing and commits you to nothing. This is the cheapest point at which to change the shape of a program.

One of these is enough. A name or an email, so there is somewhere to reply. The unit line helps us file it.

What you are about to send
Nothing marked yet.

What happens to this. It goes to our program inbox and nowhere else. It is treated as planning input rather than a requirement document, it is not a submission to any acquisition process, and sending it puts no obligation on your command. Keep it unclassified.

Build your programPrice it, scope it, and download the acquisition packet. Nothing commits you until you send it.

Planning document. Prepared for discussion. Nothing described here has been contracted, funded or scheduled, and this page is neither an offer nor a commitment by either party. It carries no prices and no quotation.

Red Teaming Associates LLC · SDVOSB · CAGE 6B7Q4 · UEI H54BTD3BJXJ7 · NAICS 611430 · PSC U008
contactus@redteamingassociates.com · 202-510-0725
Facilitator — cohort results

Construct, definitions and baseline rates from Shaw, S. D., & Nave, G. (2026). Thinking—Fast, Slow, and Artificial: How AI is Reshaping Human Reasoning and the Rise of Cognitive Surrender. Working paper, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Available at SSRN. The staff problems and the doctrinal content are ours. No vendor or model is named in what is taught.